Monday, June 16, 2008

Recent Polls

A few weeks ago, we learned that the Democratic candidate for Ohio's 15th congressional district, Mary Jo Kilroy, was leading her Republican rival, a former bank lobbyist, by over 10 points in a poll. Now there is additional information about Ohio. BBC News has data from pollster John Zogsby:

Ohio - always Ohio! Bush's narrow victory here in 2004 earned him a second term. Obama lost Ohio's primary by ten points and race again was a factor. But the Republicans are still reeling from a big scandal (to do with the re-drawing of congressional districts), so the state should probably be classified as too close to call....
Of course, Ohioans still remember the Ohio Republican scandals and might be reluctant to give their vote to the Republicans.

>>> Women are lining up to support Barack Obama. The LA Times has the story:

...Now that the Democratic marathon is over, Clinton supporters like Authenreith are siding heavily with Obama over McCain, polls show. And Obama has taken a wide lead among female voters, belying months of political chatter and polls of primary voters suggesting that disappointment over Clinton's defeat might block the Illinois senator from enjoying his party's historic edge among women... ....But in a year that strongly favors Democrats, McCain faces an uphill battle to cut into Obama's advantage among women, who made up more than half of the voters in recent presidential elections. "Women are voting for Obama because they dislike [President] Bush, they dislike McCain, they dislike the war, and they're upset about the economy, and those facts override any concerns about the Clinton-Obama primaries," Democratic pollster Mark Mellman said.....

When it comes down to it, Obama is a much better choice for women voters. Besides, John McCain supports overturning Roe v. Wade, according to the McCain website. John McCain's symbol for women should be represented by a wire hanger. (photo source)

If you do not understand what a wire hanger has to do with Roe v. Wade, go ask your mother.